Temporal Cascade Influence Score (TCIS)
Tracks who starts a ticker narrative and where momentum is building.
Research Use Disclosure
Rebuzz provides market data and sentiment analytics for research purposes only. It is not investment advice. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal.
What it measures
TCIS is a timing signal. It asks:
- Did stronger communities speak first?
- Is momentum growing more in stronger communities or weaker ones?
So CCSC tells you "are communities agreeing?", while TCIS tells you "how the story is spreading over time."
Inputs
TCIS uses:
- The time each community first mentioned the ticker.
- Mention volume by community.
- Community trust scores.
How it is computed
TCIS has two parts:
-
Origin quality:
- Look at the first few communities to mention the ticker.
- Give earlier mentions more weight than later ones.
- Communities with higher trust scores contribute more.
-
Momentum quality:
- Compare mention growth in higher-trust communities vs lower-trust communities.
- If momentum is stronger in high-trust communities, this part is positive.
Then both parts are blended 50/50 into one score.
Output + interpretation
- Higher TCIS: the signal is being led by stronger communities and/or momentum is concentrated there.
- Lower TCIS: the narrative is mostly led by lower-trust communities, or leadership is unclear.
- Near zero: mixed timing signal.
Edge cases/default behavior
TCIS stays stable under sparse data:
- No signals: returns neutral (0).
- Missing first-mention timing: origin part weakens, but momentum part still works.
- The momentum formula includes a guard to avoid divide-by-zero.
How Rebuzz uses it
TCIS is recalculated daily and fed into the composite Rebuzz score.
It adds a "who led, and how fast" dimension that pure sentiment averages cannot capture.